Age-predicted maximal heart rate revisited
Tanaka, Monahan, Seals · 2001 · Journal of the American College of Cardiology 37(1):153–156
Meta-analysis · Rang 1 von 9
What this work gives Aellic
HRmax = 208 − 0.7 × age. Meta-analysis across 351 studies / 492 groups / 18,712 people (r = −0.90), cross-validated in a laboratory cohort of 514 healthy people whose own regression, 209 − 0.7 × age, the authors call “virtually identical”. Individual values scatter about ±10 bpm around the line, so the formula sets a population expectation and not a personal ceiling. The widespread 220 − age formula has no comparable derivation.
Correction of 26 July 2026
The scatter was recorded as “SEE ~10 bpm”. The paper reports it as a standard deviation of individual values around the regression line, not a standard error of estimate — the magnitude is right, the statistic was not. Not to be confused with the 11.4 and 12.4 bpm SEE values that later validation studies report for this formula; those belong to other work.
The entry on the register was wrong. It was not replaced but kept — with what holds instead standing next to it.
Where this sits in the engine
2 declared sites — constants and thresholds in the code that point at this entry.
- Training Training load — zones, TRIMP, ACWR 2 sites
Register entry tanaka2001 · Meta-analysis